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Cardiac Risk Index
There are two major cardiac risk indices used in perioperative assessment: the original Goldman CRI (1977) and the Lee's Revised CRI / RCRI (1999), with the RCRI being the current clinical standard.
1. GOLDMAN'S CARDIAC RISK INDEX (Original, 1977)
Study: Goldman et al., Massachusetts General Hospital - studied 1001 patients >45 years undergoing noncardiac surgery. Using multivariate logistic regression, they identified 9 independent risk factors and assigned weighted points.
Goldman's 9 Factors and Points:
| Risk Factor | Points |
|---|
| S3 gallop or JVD (signs of heart failure) | 11 |
| MI within the preceding 6 months | 10 |
| >5 PVCs/min documented pre-op | 7 |
| Rhythm other than sinus, or PACs on pre-op ECG | 7 |
| Age >70 years | 5 |
| Emergency surgery | 4 |
| Intraperitoneal, intrathoracic, or aortic surgery | 3 |
| Significant aortic stenosis | 3 |
| Poor general medical status (PO₂ <60, PCO₂ >50, K⁺ <3, HCO₃ <20, BUN >50, Cr >3, SGOT raised, signs of chronic liver disease, bedridden) | 3 |
| Total | 53 |
Goldman Classes and Cardiac Complication Risk:
| Class | Points | Life-threatening complications | Cardiac deaths |
|---|
| I | 0-5 | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| II | 6-12 | 5% | 2% |
| III | 13-25 | 11% | 2% |
| IV | >26 | 22% | 56% |
Note: The Goldman CRI was validated in several populations but showed weaker predictive value specifically for vascular surgery patients. When compared to the ASA physical status classification in 16,277 patients, the Goldman CRI provided little additional predictive value beyond ASA class.
- (Miller's Anesthesia, 10th Ed.)
2. DETSKY MODIFIED CARDIAC RISK INDEX
- Modification of Goldman's CRI
- Adds unstable angina and pulmonary edema as separate weighted items
- Uses a nomogram to calculate pretest probability of complications based on surgery type
- Was advocated as starting point for risk stratification in American College of Physicians guidelines
- (Miller's Anesthesia, 10th Ed.)
3. LEE'S REVISED CARDIAC RISK INDEX (RCRI) - Current Standard
Study: Lee et al., 1999 - prospective derivation and validation in 4,315 patients aged ≥50 years undergoing elective major noncardiac surgery.
Published in: Circulation. 1999;100:1043-1049
Six independent predictors identified - each scores 1 point (equal weighting, unlike Goldman's):
RCRI - 6 Predictors:
| # | Risk Factor | Points |
|---|
| 1 | High-risk surgery - intraperitoneal, intrathoracic, or suprainguinal vascular procedure | 1 |
| 2 | Ischemic heart disease - history of MI, positive stress test, use of nitrates, current chest pain from IHD, ECG with Q waves | 1 |
| 3 | History of congestive heart failure - pulmonary edema, bilateral rales, S3 gallop, paroxysmal nocturnal dyspnea, CXR showing redistribution | 1 |
| 4 | History of cerebrovascular disease - stroke or TIA | 1 |
| 5 | Diabetes mellitus requiring insulin | 1 |
| 6 | Creatinine >2.0 mg/dL (>176 μmol/L) - preoperative renal insufficiency | 1 |
RCRI Score and Risk of Major Cardiac Events (MACE):
(MACE = cardiac death + nonfatal MI + nonfatal cardiac arrest)
| RCRI Score | Risk of MACE |
|---|
| 0 | 1.6% |
| 1 | 4.0% |
| 2 | 7.9% |
| ≥3 | 12.9% |
(Updated risk estimates from VISION Study: Roshanov et al. Can J Cardiol. 2021)
- (Miller's Anesthesia, 10th Ed.; Barash Clinical Anesthesia, 9th Ed.)
RCRI Risk by Procedure Type:
The chart below (from Barash/Miller's) shows how RCRI class dramatically increases cardiac complication rates - especially for AAA repair and other vascular procedures:
Class IV (RCRI ≥3) patients undergoing AAA or other vascular surgery have the highest complication rates (~12-15%).
4. ACS NSQIP / MICA (Newer Tools)
| Tool | Description |
|---|
| ACS NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator | Web-based; uses current CPT codes + 21 patient variables; predicts multiple outcomes including MACE; better discriminative ability than RCRI but more complex |
| MICA (Myocardial Infarction and Cardiac Arrest) | Derived from NSQIP database; specifically predicts MI and cardiac arrest |
5. Comparison: Goldman vs RCRI
| Feature | Goldman CRI (1977) | RCRI (1999) |
|---|
| Study population | 1001 patients | 4315 patients |
| Risk factors | 9, unequal weighting | 6, equal weighting (1 point each) |
| Max score | 53 | 6 |
| Classes | I-IV | Score 0-≥3 |
| Current use | Historical; largely replaced | Current clinical standard |
| Validated in vascular surgery | Controversial | Better validated |
| ACC/AHA recommendation | Not current | Recommended |
6. Clinical Application
Per the 2014 ACC/AHA and 2022 ESC guidelines, the RCRI is used as part of the stepwise cardiac risk assessment algorithm:
- Emergency surgery? → Proceed, manage perioperatively
- Active cardiac conditions? → Stabilize first
- Low-risk surgery? → Proceed
- Good functional capacity (≥4 METs)? → Proceed
- RCRI ≥2 + poor functional capacity → Consider further testing (stress imaging) only if result will change management
ASA Classification (for completeness, Bailey & Love):
| ASA Grade | Description | 30-day Mortality |
|---|
| I | Healthy | 0.1% |
| II | Mild systemic disease, no functional limitation | 0.7% |
| III | Severe systemic disease, definite functional limitation | 3.5% |
| IV | Severe systemic disease, constant threat to life | 18.3% |
| V | Moribund, unlikely to survive 24h | 93.3% |
| E | Emergency | - |
Key Exam Point: The RCRI is the preferred, validated, practical tool for perioperative cardiac risk stratification. RCRI ≥3 indicates high risk (~11-13% MACE) and triggers consideration of further optimization or advanced monitoring. Prophylactic coronary revascularization before NCS is not routinely recommended (CARP trial showed no benefit).
References:
- Miller's Anesthesia, 10th Ed. - Chapter 27 & 28
- Barash Clinical Anesthesia, 9th Ed. - Chapter 23
- Bailey and Love's Short Practice of Surgery, 28th Ed. - Chapter 21
- Lee TH et al., Circulation 1999;100:1043-1049
- Goldman L et al., NEJM 1977;297:845-850