I have the full reference article. Now I will write the complete article using all the comparative data compiled across this conversation, structured in the format of the reference article.
Decoding Trends in Nutrition, Diabetes and Hypertension among Adults in India: A Comparative Analysis of National Family Health Survey Data (NFHS-4, NFHS-5 and NFHS-6)
Authors: [Your Name(s)], Department of Community Medicine
Abstract
Introduction: Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and malnutrition continue to pose a dual public health burden in India. The National Family Health Surveys (NFHS) provide nationally representative, periodically updated data on nutritional status, blood sugar levels and blood pressure among adults. This study aims to examine the trends in adult nutritional status, diabetes and hypertension across three successive rounds of the NFHS (NFHS-4: 2015-16, NFHS-5: 2019-21 and NFHS-6: 2023-24) in India, with sex-disaggregated analysis.
Methodology: Published key indicators and national-level data from NFHS-4, NFHS-5 and NFHS-6 fact sheets and national reports were reviewed. Nutritional status (BMI) was assessed for adults aged 15-49 years across all three rounds. Blood sugar and hypertension data covered adults aged 15-49/54 years in NFHS-4 and adults aged 15 years and above in NFHS-5 and NFHS-6. Relative percentage changes between rounds were calculated to assess the magnitude of change.
Results: Overweight/obesity rose consistently across all rounds in both sexes (women: 20.7% to 30.7%; men: 18.6% to 27.3%), representing a relative rise of 48.3% and 46.8% respectively over the decade. Thinness, after improving in NFHS-5, reversed sharply in NFHS-6 (men: 16.2% to 19.7%, a 21.6% relative increase in one round). The diabetic burden more than doubled in women (107% relative rise) and rose by 75.6% in men over the decade, with very high blood sugar (>160 mg/dl) rising by 225% in women and 179.5% in men. Hypertension was the only NCD indicator to improve in NFHS-6, with overall burden declining by 9.0% in women and 7.9% in men relative to NFHS-5. Moderate/severe hypertension in men showed a 41.1% relative reduction in a single round.
Conclusion: India faces an accelerating dual burden - undernutrition stalling alongside a rapidly rising obesity and diabetes epidemic. Hypertension shows a cautious but encouraging turning point. Targeted sex-specific, setting-specific strategies addressing undernutrition in rural areas and NCD prevention in urban areas are urgently needed.
Keywords: NFHS, nutrition, BMI, obesity, undernutrition, diabetes, hypertension, India, NCD, dual burden
Introduction
India's public health landscape has undergone a remarkable transformation over the past three decades. While the country has made substantial progress in reducing child undernutrition, the adult population now faces a growing burden of overweight, obesity and related non-communicable diseases. This epidemiological transition - characterised by a shift from infectious and nutritional disorders toward chronic diseases - has been uneven across states, sexes and socioeconomic strata, creating a unique and complex dual burden of malnutrition. [1,2]
The National Family Health Survey (NFHS) series, conducted under the stewardship of the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoHFW) and coordinated by the International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS), Mumbai, provides the most comprehensive and periodically updated nationally representative data on health, nutrition and demographic indicators in India. [2,3] Since NFHS-3 (2005-06), the scope of Clinical, Anthropometric and Biochemical (CAB) testing has progressively expanded to include blood pressure measurement and random blood glucose testing, enabling trend analysis of major NCDs. [6]
NFHS-4 (2015-16) covered anthropometric and biomarker data for women aged 15-49 years and men aged 15-54 years. NFHS-5 (2019-21) significantly expanded biomarker coverage to all adults aged 15 years and above, and also introduced HbA1c, vitamin D and waist-hip circumference measurements. NFHS-6 (2023-24), the most recent round, continues this expanded coverage and for the first time provides urban-rural disaggregated biomarker data at the national level alongside a total national figure. [2,6]
Despite the availability of successive NFHS rounds, a focused comparative analysis of adult nutritional status, diabetes and hypertension trends across NFHS-4, NFHS-5 and NFHS-6 - with sex-disaggregated interpretation and relative change quantification - remains limited in published literature. Modi et al. (2023) examined malnutrition trends across NFHS rounds but focused primarily on children under 5 years and indirect determinants, without addressing adult NCD indicators. [1] The present study addresses this gap by providing a systematic cross-round comparison of adult nutrition, blood sugar and blood pressure data from NFHS-4, NFHS-5 and NFHS-6.
Methodology
This study is a secondary analysis of published aggregate data from three rounds of the National Family Health Survey: NFHS-4 (2015-16), NFHS-5 (2019-21) and NFHS-6 (2023-24). National-level data were obtained from the official NFHS fact sheets and national reports published by IIPS and made available on the NFHS portal (rchiips.org).
Indicators studied:
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Nutritional status: Proportion of adults with BMI below normal (<18.5 kg/m²; "thin") and proportion overweight or obese (BMI ≥25.0 kg/m²), for women and men separately, age group 15-49 years (consistent across all three rounds).
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Blood sugar (diabetes): Proportion with high blood sugar (141-160 mg/dl), very high blood sugar (>160 mg/dl) and overall diabetic burden (blood sugar >140 mg/dl or taking medication to lower blood sugar), for women and men separately.
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Hypertension: Proportion with mildly elevated blood pressure (systolic 140-159 mmHg and/or diastolic 90-99 mmHg), moderately/severely elevated blood pressure (systolic ≥160 mmHg and/or diastolic ≥100 mmHg), and overall hypertension burden (elevated BP or taking antihypertensive medication), for women and men separately.
Age group note: For blood sugar and hypertension, NFHS-4 covered women aged 15-49 years and men aged 15-54 years; NFHS-5 and NFHS-6 covered adults aged 15 years and above without an upper age limit. This age-range expansion substantially affects the prevalence figures for these indicators, since hypertension and diabetes prevalence increase steeply with age. NFHS-4 figures for these indicators are therefore marked with (~) to indicate they are not fully comparable with NFHS-5 and NFHS-6. The NFHS-5 to NFHS-6 comparison uses identical age ranges and definitions and is considered the most valid like-for-like comparison for blood sugar and hypertension.
Statistical analysis: Relative percentage change was calculated as: (NFHS-6 value - comparison round value) / comparison round value × 100. Absolute changes between rounds are also reported.
Results
3.1 Nutritional Status of Adults (Age 15-49 years)
Table 1 presents trends in adult nutritional status across the three NFHS rounds.
Table 1: Nutritional Status of Adults (Age 15-49 years), India
| Indicator | NFHS-6 (2023-24) | NFHS-5 (2019-21) | NFHS-4 (2015-16) | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-5 Relative Change | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-4 Relative Change |
|---|
| Women thin (BMI <18.5 kg/m²) % | 19.7 | 18.7 | 22.9 | ↑ +5.3% | ↓ -14.0% |
| Men thin (BMI <18.5 kg/m²) % | 19.7 | 16.2 | 20.2 | ↑ +21.6% | ↓ -2.5% |
| Women overweight/obese (BMI ≥25 kg/m²) % | 30.7 | 24.0 | 20.7 | ↑ +27.9% | ↑ +48.3% |
| Men overweight/obese (BMI ≥25 kg/m²) % | 27.3 | 22.9 | 18.6 | ↑ +19.2% | ↑ +46.8% |
The proportion of thin women declined from 22.9% in NFHS-4 to 18.7% in NFHS-5, reflecting a 14% relative improvement. However, NFHS-6 recorded a reversal to 19.7%, a 5.3% relative rise in a single round, suggesting the gains of NFHS-5 were not sustained. Men's thinness followed a similar pattern - declining from 20.2% to 16.2% between NFHS-4 and NFHS-5, then rising sharply to 19.7% in NFHS-6, representing a 21.6% relative increase in one round and the most severe single-round reversal in the nutrition dataset. Notably, men's and women's thinness have converged at an identical 19.7% in NFHS-6, which has not occurred in any previous NFHS round.
In contrast, overweight and obesity rose consistently and steeply across all three rounds for both sexes. Women's overweight/obesity prevalence increased from 20.7% (NFHS-4) to 24.0% (NFHS-5) to 30.7% (NFHS-6), representing a 27.9% relative rise in the most recent round and a 48.3% relative rise over the decade. Men's overweight/obesity increased from 18.6% to 22.9% to 27.3%, a 19.2% relative rise in the most recent round and 46.8% over the decade. India now simultaneously carries a thinness burden of approximately 20% and an overweight/obesity burden approaching 30% in the adult population - a textbook manifestation of the dual burden of malnutrition. [1]
3.2 Blood Sugar / Diabetes (Women: Age 15-49 yrs NFHS-4; Age 15+ yrs NFHS-5 & 6)
Table 2 presents trends in blood sugar levels among adult women.
Table 2: Blood Sugar Levels among Adult Women, India
| Indicator | NFHS-6 (2023-24) Age 15+ yrs | NFHS-5 (2019-21) Age 15+ yrs | NFHS-4 (2015-16) Age 15-49 yrs | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-5 Relative Change | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-4 Relative Change |
|---|
| High blood sugar (141-160 mg/dl) % | 7.5 | 6.1 | 5.8 | ↑ +23.0% | ↑ +29.3% |
| Very high blood sugar (>160 mg/dl) % | 9.1 | 6.3 | 2.8 | ↑ +44.4% | ↑ +225.0% |
| Overall burden (>140 mg/dl or on treatment) % | 17.8 | 13.5 | ~8.6 | ↑ +31.9% | ↑ +107.0% |
The overall diabetic burden in women rose from approximately 8.6% (NFHS-4) to 13.5% (NFHS-5) to 17.8% (NFHS-6), representing a 107% relative increase over the decade - effectively doubling. The very high blood sugar category (>160 mg/dl) showed the most alarming trajectory, rising from 2.8% in NFHS-4 to 9.1% in NFHS-6, a 225% relative increase over the decade and the highest relative rise of any indicator in this analysis. Between NFHS-5 and NFHS-6 alone, the very high blood sugar category rose by 44.4% relative to NFHS-5, indicating accelerating rather than decelerating progression. Nearly 1 in 6 Indian women (17.8%) now has high blood sugar or is on diabetes medication.
3.3 Blood Sugar / Diabetes (Men: Age 15-54 yrs NFHS-4; Age 15+ yrs NFHS-5 & 6)
Table 3 presents trends in blood sugar levels among adult men.
Table 3: Blood Sugar Levels among Adult Men, India
| Indicator | NFHS-6 (2023-24) Age 15+ yrs | NFHS-5 (2019-21) Age 15+ yrs | NFHS-4 (2015-16) Age 15-54 yrs | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-5 Relative Change | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-4 Relative Change |
|---|
| High blood sugar (141-160 mg/dl) % | 8.8 | 7.3 | 8.0 | ↑ +20.5% | ↑ +10.0% |
| Very high blood sugar (>160 mg/dl) % | 10.9 | 7.1 | 3.9 | ↑ +53.5% | ↑ +179.5% |
| Overall burden (>140 mg/dl or on treatment) % | 20.9 | 15.6 | ~11.9 | ↑ +34.0% | ↑ +75.6% |
Men carried a consistently higher diabetic burden than women across all three rounds. By NFHS-6, 1 in 5 Indian adult men (20.9%) has high blood sugar or is on diabetes medication. The overall burden rose by 75.6% over the decade. The NFHS-5 to NFHS-6 relative rise of 34.0% in men's overall burden exceeds women's 31.9%, indicating men's diabetes epidemic is currently accelerating at a slightly faster pace. The very high blood sugar category in men rose by 53.5% in a single round (NFHS-5 to NFHS-6) - the highest single-round relative increase across both sexes and all diabetes indicators, suggesting a rapidly expanding pool of severely uncontrolled and likely undiagnosed diabetic men.
3.4 Hypertension (Women: Age 15-49 yrs NFHS-4; Age 15+ yrs NFHS-5 & 6)
Table 4 presents trends in hypertension among adult women.
Table 4: Hypertension among Adult Women, India
| Indicator | NFHS-6 (2023-24) Age 15+ yrs | NFHS-5 (2019-21) Age 15+ yrs | NFHS-4 (2015-16) Age 15-49 yrs | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-5 Relative Change | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-4 Relative Change* |
|---|
| Mildly elevated BP (Systolic 140-159 / Diastolic 90-99 mmHg) % | 9.4 | 12.4 | 6.7 | ↓ -24.2% | ↑ +40.3%* |
| Moderately/severely elevated BP (Systolic ≥160 / Diastolic ≥100 mmHg) % | 4.8 | 5.2 | 2.1 | ↓ -7.7% | ↑ +128.6%* |
| Overall HTN burden (elevated BP or on treatment) % | 19.4 | 21.3 | ~8.8 | ↓ -9.0% | ↑ +120.5%* |
*Not directly comparable due to age-range differences between NFHS-4 and NFHS-5/6.
Hypertension is the only NCD indicator showing improvement in NFHS-6 for women. Overall hypertension burden declined from 21.3% (NFHS-5) to 19.4% (NFHS-6), a 9.0% relative reduction in one round. Mild hypertension showed the most pronounced improvement - a 24.2% relative reduction (12.4% to 9.4%), indicating that a substantial proportion of mildly hypertensive women have benefited from early detection, lifestyle modification or treatment. Moderate/severe hypertension showed a smaller but consistent decline of 7.7% (5.2% to 4.8%).
3.5 Hypertension (Men: Age 15-54 yrs NFHS-4; Age 15+ yrs NFHS-5 & 6)
Table 5 presents trends in hypertension among adult men.
Table 5: Hypertension among Adult Men, India
| Indicator | NFHS-6 (2023-24) Age 15+ yrs | NFHS-5 (2019-21) Age 15+ yrs | NFHS-4 (2015-16) Age 15-54 yrs | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-5 Relative Change | NFHS-6 vs NFHS-4 Relative Change* |
|---|
| Mildly elevated BP (Systolic 140-159 / Diastolic 90-99 mmHg) % | 12.4 | 15.7 | 10.4 | ↓ -21.0% | ↑ +19.2%* |
| Moderately/severely elevated BP (Systolic ≥160 / Diastolic ≥100 mmHg) % | 3.3 | 5.6 | 3.4 | ↓ -41.1% | ↓ -2.9% |
| Overall HTN burden (elevated BP or on treatment) % | 22.1 | 24.0 | ~13.8 | ↓ -7.9% | ↑ +60.1%* |
*Not directly comparable due to age-range differences between NFHS-4 and NFHS-5/6.
Men consistently showed higher hypertension burden than women across all rounds, consistent with the known epidemiology of hypertension where men develop elevated blood pressure at younger ages. The NFHS-6 overall burden (22.1%) represents a 7.9% relative reduction from NFHS-5 (24.0%). The most striking finding is the 41.1% relative reduction in moderate/severe hypertension in men (5.6% to 3.3%) in a single round - the largest relative improvement of any indicator across all three tables. Men's moderate/severe hypertension in NFHS-6 (3.3%) has returned to nearly the NFHS-4 level (3.4%), representing a genuine decade-long stabilisation of the severe end of the hypertension spectrum despite the age-range expansion that would be expected to inflate NFHS-6 figures.
Discussion
This analysis of adult nutrition, diabetes and hypertension data across three successive NFHS rounds reveals a complex and polarised public health picture in India.
The stalling of undernutrition reduction is a major concern emerging from NFHS-6. Both thinness in women and thinness in men reversed between NFHS-5 and NFHS-6, erasing a substantial proportion of the gains made in the preceding round. The near-complete reversal in men's thinness (21.6% relative increase in one round) is particularly alarming. Modi et al. (2023) noted improving trends in undernutrition-related indicators such as IYCF practices, institutional births and immunisation in NFHS-5. [1] The NFHS-6 reversal suggests these structural improvements in determinants were disrupted - likely by the COVID-19 pandemic's cascading effects on food security, income and supply chains, compounded by food price inflation in 2022-23. The Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana (free food grain distribution) and POSHAN Abhiyaan may have buffered a steeper decline, but their effects were insufficient to sustain the NFHS-5 gains.
The obesity surge is India's fastest-growing nutritional emergency. The 48.3% relative rise in women's overweight/obesity and 46.8% in men's over a decade, with no plateau in sight, represents a structural shift in dietary patterns and physical activity. This is consistent with global evidence linking economic development, urbanisation and dietary transition to rising obesity rates in low- and middle-income countries. The NFHS-5 to NFHS-6 rise of 27.9% in women's obesity in a single round - with urban women reaching 42.8% overweight/obesity prevalence - indicates that the nutrition transition has accelerated rather than stabilised in the most recent period. The convergence of high undernutrition and high obesity within the same population mirrors the dual burden documented by Modi et al. (2023) for children, now manifesting with equal force in adults. [1]
The diabetes epidemic shows the most consistently adverse trajectory in this analysis. No indicator, in either sex, improved across any round. The 225% relative rise in women's very high blood sugar (>160 mg/dl) over the decade is extraordinary and indicates that not only is the number of diabetic individuals rising, but severity is increasing rapidly - reflecting a large pool of undiagnosed and untreated diabetes progressing to end-organ damage. Men's 53.5% single-round rise in very high blood sugar (NFHS-5 to NFHS-6) and overall burden crossing 20% (1 in 5 adult men) constitute a crisis-level signal. The treatment gap documented in NFHS-5 - where only 1.1-1.2% of adults had controlled diabetes despite 13-15% overall burden - suggests that health system capacity to diagnose, treat and monitor diabetes has not kept pace with the rising burden. Expansion of HbA1c-based screening (introduced in NFHS-5 CAB testing) and strengthening of primary care diabetes management under the National Programme for Prevention and Control of Cancer, Diabetes, Cardiovascular Diseases and Stroke (NPCDCS) are urgently needed.
Hypertension's cautious improvement in NFHS-6 stands out as the only positive NCD signal in this dataset. The 41.1% relative reduction in men's moderate/severe hypertension and the 24.2% relative reduction in women's mild hypertension between NFHS-5 and NFHS-6 are clinically meaningful. Several intersecting factors may explain this finding. ASHA-led community blood pressure screening programs, expanded availability of low-cost generic antihypertensives at sub-centre and PHC levels, and increased public health awareness following COVID-19 (which disproportionately affected hypertensive individuals) may have collectively driven greater detection and treatment uptake. The Ayushman Bharat Health and Wellness Centre (AB-HWC) model, which mandates NCD screening including blood pressure at the community level, may also be contributing to this trend. The fact that men's moderate/severe hypertension has returned to NFHS-4 levels despite the expanded age range of NFHS-5/6 makes this improvement even more significant. However, caution is warranted - the treatment gap for hypertension in NFHS-5 was extremely large (only 0.7-1.2% controlled), and a single-round improvement should not be interpreted as a resolved problem.
Gender differences across all three domains merit specific attention. Men had consistently higher diabetes and hypertension burden across all rounds but also showed greater single-round worsening in the most recent period (diabetes burden rising 34% vs 31.9% for women in NFHS-5 to NFHS-6). Women, conversely, experienced a steeper obesity surge (27.9% vs 19.2% relative rise in NFHS-5 to NFHS-6) and a reversal in thinness. These sex-specific patterns demand gender-tailored NCD and nutrition strategies rather than a uniform approach. The convergence of men's and women's thinness at identical rates (19.7%) in NFHS-6, a first in NFHS history, warrants further investigation - men's thinness is less studied and less targeted by existing nutrition programs, which predominantly focus on women and children.
Limitations of this study include the use of aggregate published data rather than individual-level microdata, the methodological non-comparability of NFHS-4 with NFHS-5/6 for blood sugar and hypertension due to age-range changes, the use of random blood glucose rather than fasting blood glucose or HbA1c as the primary diabetes indicator (which may underestimate true prevalence), and the inability to assess causality or adjust for confounders from aggregate data.
Conclusion
Across the decade spanning NFHS-4 (2015-16) to NFHS-6 (2023-24), India's adult nutrition and NCD landscape has undergone profound and largely adverse changes. The dual burden of malnutrition - concurrent undernutrition and obesity - has persisted and deepened, with obesity rising by nearly 50% in relative terms while thinness stalled and reversed in NFHS-6. The diabetes epidemic has more than doubled in absolute burden over the decade, with very high blood sugar rising by over 200% in women - a crisis-level trend driven by rising obesity, sedentary lifestyles and inadequate treatment coverage. Hypertension provides the only encouraging signal, with genuine improvement in NFHS-6 relative to NFHS-5, suggesting that targeted screening and treatment programs can produce measurable results within a single survey cycle.
These findings call for an integrated, sex-disaggregated NCD and nutrition strategy - one that simultaneously addresses rural undernutrition through strengthened POSHAN Abhiyaan implementation, urban obesity through dietary regulation and physical activity promotion, and the diabetes-hypertension treatment gap through expanded primary care NCD management under Ayushman Bharat. As Modi et al. (2023) concluded for child nutrition, a multi-sectoral approach addressing root causes is essential; [1] the same imperative now applies with equal urgency to adult NCDs in India.
References
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International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS) and ICF. National Family Health Survey (NFHS-6), 2023-24: India Key Indicators. Mumbai: IIPS; 2024. Available from:
https://rchiips.org/nfhs
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National Institution for Transforming India (NITI Aayog). Accelerating Progress on Nutrition in India. New Delhi: NITI Aayog; 2020. Available from:
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Ministry of Women and Child Development. Integrated Child Development Services Scheme. New Delhi: Government of India. Available from:
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