MODALITIES OF EBM

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evidence based medicine hierarchy of evidence pyramid

Summary : This Venn diagram illustrates the three core components of evidence-based medicine (EBM): individual clinical expertise, best external evidence, and patient values & expectations, and shows their intersection as the practice of EBM.

venn diagram:
# Components :
  • Individual Clinical Expertise (red circle, upper left)
  • Best External Evidence (yellow circle, upper right)
  • Patient Values & Expectations (green circle, bottom)

# Overlap & Central Concept :
  • The intersection of all three circles is labeled "EBM" (Evidence-Based Medicine), shaded in blue.
  • Each pairwise overlap is visually indicated but not separately labeled.

# Design Encodings :
  • Each component uses a distinct color: red, yellow, green.
  • The central intersection (EBM) is highlighted in blue.
  • All text is in uppercase or title case for emphasis.

# Source & Citation :
  • Adapted from Armstrong EC, "Harnessing new technologies while preserving basic values," Fam Sys and Health. 21:351-355, 2003.

# Analysis :
  • The diagram visually emphasizes that evidence-based medicine is achieved only when individual clinical expertise, best external evidence, and patient values & expectations are all integrated. No single component alone constitutes EBM; their intersection is essential.

Summary : This Venn diagram illustrates the three core components of evidence-based medicine (EBM): individual clinical expertise, best external evidence, and patient values & expectations, and shows their intersection as the practice of EBM. venn diagram: # Components : • Individual Clinical Expertise (red circle, upper left) • Best External Evidence (yellow circle, upper right) • Patient Values & Expectations (green circle, bottom) # Overlap & Central Concept : • The intersection of all three circles is labeled "EBM" (Evidence-Based Medicine), shaded in blue. • Each pairwise overlap is visually indicated but not separately labeled. # Design Encodings : • Each component uses a distinct color: red, yellow, green. • The central intersection (EBM) is highlighted in blue. • All text is in uppercase or title case for emphasis. # Source & Citation : • Adapted from Armstrong EC, "Harnessing new technologies while preserving basic values," Fam Sys and Health. 21:351-355, 2003. # Analysis : • The diagram visually emphasizes that evidence-based medicine is achieved only when individual clinical expertise, best external evidence, and patient values & expectations are all integrated. No single component alone constitutes EBM; their intersection is essential.

Summary : This figure compares the evolution of diagnostic criteria for myocarditis across three time points (2013, 2021/2023, and 2025), using pyramid diagrams to illustrate the classification hierarchy and terminology changes, as well as the shift in diagnostic certainty categories.

pyramid chart:
# 2013 Criteria :
  • Three-level pyramid labeled (from bottom to top): "CMR + clinical" (Suspected, grey), " " (Confirmed, purple), "EMB" (Proven, blue).
  • Legend: Blue = Proven, Purple = Confirmed, Grey = Suspected.

# 2021/2023 Criteria :
  • Three-level pyramid labeled (from bottom to top): "Clinical" (Suspected, grey), "CMR" (Confirmed, purple), "EMB" (Proven, blue).
  • Legend: Blue = Proven, Purple = Confirmed, Grey = Suspected.

# 2025 Criteria :
  • Three-level pyramid labeled (from bottom to top): "EMB- or CMR-proven" (Definite, green), "EMB and CMR with uncertain results" (Possible, orange), "EMB and CMR negative" (Unlikely/rejected, red).
  • Legend: Green = Definite, Orange = Possible, Red = Unlikely/rejected.

# Colour Legend :
  • Green: Definite
  • Orange: Possible
  • Red: Unlikely/rejected
  • Blue: Proven
  • Purple: Confirmed
  • Grey: Suspected

# Analysis :
  • The diagnostic framework for myocarditis has evolved from a three-tiered system based on clinical, CMR, and EMB evidence (2013, 2021/2023) to a more streamlined and colour-coded certainty-based system (2025).
  • The 2025 criteria emphasize diagnostic certainty (definite, possible, unlikely/rejected) rather than the previous "proven/confirmed/suspected" terminology.
  • The role of EMB and CMR remains central, but the new system explicitly addresses cases with uncertain or negative results, clarifying diagnostic outcomes.

Summary : This figure compares the evolution of diagnostic criteria for myocarditis across three time points (2013, 2021/2023, and 2025), using pyramid diagrams to illustrate the classification hierarchy and terminology changes, as well as the shift in diagnostic certainty categories. pyramid chart: # 2013 Criteria : • Three-level pyramid labeled (from bottom to top): "CMR + clinical" (Suspected, grey), " " (Confirmed, purple), "EMB" (Proven, blue). • Legend: Blue = Proven, Purple = Confirmed, Grey = Suspected. # 2021/2023 Criteria : • Three-level pyramid labeled (from bottom to top): "Clinical" (Suspected, grey), "CMR" (Confirmed, purple), "EMB" (Proven, blue). • Legend: Blue = Proven, Purple = Confirmed, Grey = Suspected. # 2025 Criteria : • Three-level pyramid labeled (from bottom to top): "EMB- or CMR-proven" (Definite, green), "EMB and CMR with uncertain results" (Possible, orange), "EMB and CMR negative" (Unlikely/rejected, red). • Legend: Green = Definite, Orange = Possible, Red = Unlikely/rejected. # Colour Legend : • Green: Definite • Orange: Possible • Red: Unlikely/rejected • Blue: Proven • Purple: Confirmed • Grey: Suspected # Analysis : • The diagnostic framework for myocarditis has evolved from a three-tiered system based on clinical, CMR, and EMB evidence (2013, 2021/2023) to a more streamlined and colour-coded certainty-based system (2025). • The 2025 criteria emphasize diagnostic certainty (definite, possible, unlikely/rejected) rather than the previous "proven/confirmed/suspected" terminology. • The role of EMB and CMR remains central, but the new system explicitly addresses cases with uncertain or negative results, clarifying diagnostic outcomes.

Table 1   Summary of 'The Oxford Levels of Evidence 2'. (Adapted from Oxford Center for Evidence-Based Medicine Levels of Evidence Working Group)
<table><thead><tr><th>Level 1</th><th>Level 2</th><th>Level 3</th><th>Level 4</th><th>Level 5</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Systematic review or meta-analysis</td><td>Randomized trial or observational study with dramatic effect</td><td>Non-randomized, controlled cohort, or follow-up study</td><td>Case series, case-control, or historically controlled study</td><td>Mechanism-based reasoning</td></tr></tbody></table>

Table 1 Summary of 'The Oxford Levels of Evidence 2'. (Adapted from Oxford Center for Evidence-Based Medicine Levels of Evidence Working Group) <table><thead><tr><th>Level 1</th><th>Level 2</th><th>Level 3</th><th>Level 4</th><th>Level 5</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Systematic review or meta-analysis</td><td>Randomized trial or observational study with dramatic effect</td><td>Non-randomized, controlled cohort, or follow-up study</td><td>Case series, case-control, or historically controlled study</td><td>Mechanism-based reasoning</td></tr></tbody></table>

Table 1   Summary of 'The Oxford Levels of Evidence 2' (adapted from Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine Levels of Evidence Working Group)
<table><thead><tr><th>Level 1</th><th>Level 2</th><th>Level 3</th><th>Level 4</th><th>Level 5</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Systematic review or meta-analysis</td><td>Randomized trial or observational study with dramatic effect</td><td>Non-randomized, controlled cohort, or follow-up study</td><td>Case series, case-control, or historically controlled study</td><td>Mechanism-based reasoning</td></tr></tbody></table>

Table 1 Summary of 'The Oxford Levels of Evidence 2' (adapted from Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine Levels of Evidence Working Group) <table><thead><tr><th>Level 1</th><th>Level 2</th><th>Level 3</th><th>Level 4</th><th>Level 5</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Systematic review or meta-analysis</td><td>Randomized trial or observational study with dramatic effect</td><td>Non-randomized, controlled cohort, or follow-up study</td><td>Case series, case-control, or historically controlled study</td><td>Mechanism-based reasoning</td></tr></tbody></table>

Here is a thorough breakdown of the Modalities of Evidence-Based Medicine (EBM):

Modalities of Evidence-Based Medicine (EBM)

What is EBM?

EBM is a systematic practice that integrates three core pillars:
EBM Venn Diagram - three components
  1. Best External Evidence - current, valid research from clinical studies
  2. Individual Clinical Expertise - the clinician's accumulated experience and judgment
  3. Patient Values & Expectations - the patient's unique circumstances and preferences
EBM was formalized in the early 1990s by proponents at McMaster University. The term "evidence-based medicine" is now used in so many different contexts that many practitioners have lost sight of its original meaning.
  • Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine 22E, p. 71

The 5-Step EBM Process

StepAction
1. AskFormulate a specific, answerable clinical question (using PICO)
2. AcquireSearch literature/databases for applicable research data
3. AppraiseCritically evaluate the evidence for validity and relevance
4. ApplyIntegrate the appraisal with the patient's unique aspects and preferences
5. AuditMonitor outcomes and reassess effectiveness
Henry's Clinical Diagnosis and Management by Laboratory Methods, p. 124

The PICO Framework (Structuring the Clinical Question)

LetterMeaningExample
PProblem - the specific patient/population58-year-old man with HCC post-resection
IIntervention - what is being consideredSerum AFP monitoring
CComparison - the alternativeNot measuring serum AFP
OOutcome - the measurable endpointAFP predictive value for recurrence & survival

Modalities (Sources/Types of Evidence) - The Evidence Hierarchy

The evidence hierarchy ranks study types by strength, reliability, and freedom from bias. Different hierarchies exist depending on the question type (therapy, diagnosis, prognosis, harm).

Classic Evidence Pyramid (Low to High)

LevelModalityCharacteristics
5 (Lowest)Animal/Basic Science StudiesMechanistic, not directly applicable to humans
5Expert Opinion / EditorialAnecdote, experience-based; most subject to bias
4Case Reports / Case SeriesDescriptive; no control group; generate hypotheses
3bCase-Control StudiesRetrospective; compares those with/without disease; susceptible to recall bias
3aCohort Studies (Observational)Prospective or retrospective; follows groups over time; no randomization
2Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs)Gold standard for therapy; randomization minimizes selection bias
1bSystematic Reviews of RCTsComprehensively summarize evidence on a topic with predefined search strategies
1a (Highest)Meta-AnalysisStatistically combines data from multiple studies; highest precision

Detailed Description of Each Modality

1. Expert Opinion & Anecdote (Level 5)

  • Based on clinical experience without formal study
  • Most subject to cognitive and recall bias
  • Useful only when no higher evidence exists

2. Case Reports & Case Series (Level 4)

  • Single patient (case report) or small group (case series)
  • No control group; cannot establish causation
  • Important for identifying rare events or first signals of adverse effects
  • "Although they may generate important hypotheses or be the first reports of adverse events or therapeutic benefit, they have no role in formulating modern standards of practice" - Harrison's 22E

3. Observational Studies (Level 3)

a) Cross-Sectional Studies

  • Measures exposure and outcome simultaneously (snapshot)
  • Good for prevalence; cannot determine temporality

b) Case-Control Studies

  • Retrospective; identifies risk factors
  • Compares cases (disease) vs. controls (no disease)
  • Prone to recall bias and selection bias

c) Cohort Studies

  • Prospective (or retrospective); follows exposed vs. unexposed groups
  • Better for rare exposures; can establish temporal relationships
  • "Carefully collected prospective observational data can at times achieve a level of evidence quality approaching that of major clinical trial data through trial emulation" - Harrison's 22E

4. Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) (Level 2)

  • Gold standard for evaluating therapeutic interventions
  • Random allocation protects against measured and unmeasured confounding (treatment selection bias)
  • Features: concurrent controls, blinding (single/double), allocation concealment
  • "Double-blinded RCTs are the most valuable because they are the least biased" - Henry's Clinical Diagnosis, p. 124
  • Modern variants include:
    • Response-adaptive randomized designs
    • Pragmatic (real-world) trials
    • Crossover trials
    • N-of-1 trials (single patient, repeated crossover - most individualized)

5. Systematic Reviews (Level 1b)

  • Use predefined, reproducible search strategies with explicit inclusion/exclusion criteria
  • Aim to comprehensively identify and critically appraise all relevant studies
  • Produced by organizations like the Cochrane Collaboration
  • "Systematic reviews are regarded by some as the highest level of evidence in the EBM hierarchy" - Harrison's 22E
  • Limitations: only as good as the underlying studies; many are of variable quality; peer review does not reliably detect poor quality

6. Meta-Analysis (Level 1a)

  • Statistically combines data from multiple independent studies
  • Produces a pooled effect estimate with greater precision than individual studies
  • Often included within systematic reviews
  • "When appropriate, a meta-analysis is used to quantitatively summarize the systematic review findings" - Harrison's 22E
  • Limitations: garbage-in-garbage-out; heterogeneity across studies can make pooling inappropriate

Oxford Centre for EBM - Levels of Evidence (OCEBM)

Oxford Levels of Evidence
LevelStudy Type
1Systematic review or meta-analysis
2RCT or observational study with dramatic effect
3Non-randomized controlled cohort/follow-up study
4Case series, case-control, or historically controlled study
5Mechanism-based reasoning

The 6S Hierarchy of Evidence Sources (DiCenso 2009)

This describes where clinicians find pre-appraised evidence, from bottom (raw) to top (integrated):
LevelSource
6 - SystemsClinical decision support systems (e.g., UpToDate, integrated into EMR)
5 - SummariesEvidence-based textbooks and clinical guidelines
4 - Synopses of synthesesBrief summaries of systematic reviews (e.g., ACP Journal Club)
3 - SynthesesFull systematic reviews (e.g., Cochrane Database)
2 - Synopses of studiesBrief abstracts of individual studies
1 - StudiesOriginal primary research articles

Clinical Practice Guidelines (CPGs)

  • Built on top of systematic reviews and meta-analyses
  • Developed by professional medical societies and government bodies
  • Provide graded recommendations (e.g., Grade A, B, C) based on evidence quality
  • Quality depends heavily on the underlying SRs, management of conflicts of interest (COI), and methodological rigor - Henry's Clinical Diagnosis, p. 124

Limitations of the EBM Hierarchy

  • Even a strong RCT may not be applicable to an individual patient if the study population differs in age, comorbidities, baseline risk, or clinical setting
  • Systematic reviews are "not uniformly the acme of the EBM process" - they fail when few trials exist, when RCTs and observational studies are mixed, or when the evidence base is entirely observational
  • The pandemic lesson: thousands of low-quality observational COVID-19 papers created confusion rather than clarity - only well-designed RCTs resolved key uncertainties - Harrison's 22E
  • Ethical constraints limit which questions can ever be answered by RCTs (e.g., cannot randomize based on sex, socioeconomic status, or deliberately harmful exposures)

Key takeaway: The modalities of EBM form a pyramid of evidence quality - from anecdote and case reports at the base to meta-analyses and systematic reviews at the apex. The appropriate modality depends on the clinical question (therapy, diagnosis, prognosis, harm), available evidence, and the individual patient context. EBM is not about rigid hierarchy application but about using the best available evidence in conjunction with clinical expertise and patient values.
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