Here is the complete revised methodology in full:
Community-Based Multi-Component Interventions for Obesity Prevention in Young Adults (<30 years)
REVISED METHODOLOGY SECTION
OBJECTIVES AND RESEARCH QUESTIONS
Research Objectives
This study adopts a hierarchical objective structure consistent with best practice in clinical trial design (Schulz & Grimes, 2005). One primary objective drives the primary analysis and sample size calculation; secondary and exploratory objectives address mechanistic, contextual, and longer-term questions.
Primary Objective
To determine the effectiveness of a community-based multi-component intervention (combining dietary, physical activity, behavioural, and environmental components) in preventing progression to overweight or obesity compared with a health-information-only control arm, as measured by change in BMI (kg/m²) from baseline to 12 months in young adults aged 18–29 years in Lusaka, Zambia.
Secondary Objectives
- Objective 2 - Behavioural mediators: To explore whether self-monitoring, personalised goal-setting, and peer feedback mediate intervention-related changes in BMI and lifestyle behaviours.
- Objective 3 - Environmental supports: To investigate how environmental and policy-level supports (food access, built-environment features, workplace/campus initiatives) modify obesity prevention outcomes at the community level.
- Objective 4 - Long-term outcomes: To evaluate the sustained impact of the intervention on BMI trajectories, incidence of obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m²), and cardiometabolic risk markers at 12 months and, where retention permits, beyond.
Research Questions, Outcome Measures, and Planned Analyses
Each research question is mapped directly to a pre-specified outcome measure and a statistical analysis plan, in accordance with SPIRIT 2013 and CONSORT 2010 extension for cluster trials (Chan et al., 2013; Campbell et al., 2012).
RQ1 (Primary): Does the multi-component community-based intervention reduce BMI at 12 months compared with health-information-only control?
- Outcome measure: Change in BMI (kg/m²) from baseline to 12 months, measured by calibrated stadiometer and digital scale using WHO standardised protocols.
- Analysis: Linear mixed-effects regression (primary statistical model) with BMI change as the dependent variable, treatment arm as the fixed effect, and cluster as a random intercept to account for within-cluster correlation. Baseline BMI, age, sex, and socioeconomic status will be included as covariates. Intention-to-treat (ITT) principle applied throughout.
RQ2 (Secondary): Which behavioural strategies are most effective in sustaining lifestyle changes, and do self-monitoring and goal-setting mediate BMI reduction?
- Outcome measures: (a) Self-reported physical activity (International Physical Activity Questionnaire - IPAQ short form, validated in sub-Saharan Africa); (b) dietary quality score derived from 24-hour dietary recall; (c) self-efficacy assessed by the General Self-Efficacy Scale (Schwarzer & Jerusalem, 1995).
- Analysis: Causal mediation analysis (Baron & Kenny approach with bootstrapped confidence intervals) applied to the ITT sample. Mediation analyses are treated as exploratory and are not independently powered for mediation pathways.
RQ3 (Secondary): Do environmental and policy-level supports modify the effect of the intervention on BMI outcomes?
- Outcome measures: Intervention effect size (BMI change) stratified by community-level measures: (a) distance to nearest food market offering fresh produce (GPS-measured); (b) availability of safe walking or exercise space (community audit score); (c) presence of workplace or campus wellness policy.
- Analysis: Exploratory moderation analysis using cross-level interaction terms (individual BMI change × community environment score) within the mixed-effects model. These analyses are hypothesis-generating and are not independently powered.
RQ4 (Secondary/Exploratory): What is the long-term impact of the intervention on obesity incidence and cardiometabolic markers?
- Outcome measures: (a) Incidence of obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m²) at 12 months; (b) waist circumference (cm); (c) fasting plasma glucose (mmol/L); (d) HbA1c (%); (e) fasting lipid profile (total cholesterol, LDL, HDL, triglycerides in mmol/L).
- Analysis: Incidence of obesity will be compared between arms using log-binomial regression with cluster-robust standard errors to estimate risk ratios. Continuous cardiometabolic outcomes will use the same mixed-effects regression framework as the primary analysis. These are secondary endpoints; results will be interpreted descriptively.
METHODOLOGY
Study Design
This study will employ a two-arm parallel cluster randomised controlled trial (cluster RCT) design, following the CONSORT 2010 extension for cluster randomised trials (Campbell et al., 2012) and SPIRIT 2013 guidance for trial protocols (Chan et al., 2013).
Justification for Cluster Randomisation
Cluster randomisation was selected for three reasons. First, the intervention operates at the community level through environmental modifications, mass media campaigns, and community health worker (CHW) delivery; these elements cannot be meaningfully provided to individuals within the same community without contaminating the control arm. Second, randomising individuals within the same setting to different arms would create co-intervention bias, as participants share social networks, food environments, and physical infrastructure (Donner & Klar, 2000). Third, cluster designs are well-established in community-based obesity prevention research (Adab et al., 2015; Li et al., 2017), providing a strong methodological precedent for this approach.
Choice of Cluster Unit
Geographically defined community zones within Lusaka Province (e.g., distinct residential compounds, peri-urban wards, or urban neighbourhood units) will serve as the unit of randomisation. These natural geographic clusters were chosen over institutional clusters (e.g., individual workplaces or campuses) because: (a) they capture the full ecological context of the intervention including food retail, built environment, and social norms; (b) they reduce the risk of cluster-level selection bias that arises when clusters are defined by voluntary institutional enrolment; and (c) geographic clusters are a standard unit in community-level NCD prevention trials in sub-Saharan Africa (Willmott et al., 2022). Approximately 24–30 community clusters are planned across intervention and control arms (see Sample Size section).
Allocation Concealment and Randomisation Procedure
Cluster-level randomisation will be conducted by an independent statistician with no involvement in participant recruitment or outcome assessment. Eligible community clusters will be identified and matched on the following variables prior to randomisation: (a) urban/peri-urban classification; (b) approximate socioeconomic profile (tertile of household poverty index derived from Zambia DHS 2024 data); and (c) estimated adult population size.
Within each matched pair, one cluster will be randomly allocated to the intervention arm and the other to the control arm using a computer-generated random number sequence (e.g., R function sample()). The allocation sequence will be held by the independent statistician and released to the field team only after baseline data collection for all clusters in a matched pair is complete, ensuring that baseline assessments are conducted without knowledge of assignment. Cluster allocations will be documented in a secure, password-protected file with a full audit trail.
Blinding
Due to the nature of community-level behavioural interventions, participants and intervention facilitators cannot be blinded to arm assignment. However, the following blinding procedures will apply:
- Outcome assessors: Research assistants responsible for anthropometric, biochemical, and questionnaire data collection will be blinded to cluster allocation at all time points - baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. They will not be involved in intervention delivery and will be explicitly instructed not to enquire about or record arm assignment. Blinding will be verified at each follow-up visit by asking assessors to record their guess of cluster assignment; concordance with actual assignment will be reported in the trial publication.
- Data analysts: The primary outcome analysis will be conducted on a blinded dataset (arms coded as A and B) until the statistical analysis plan is finalised and signed off, at which point the allocation key will be released (Schulz & Grimes, 2005).
Study Setting
Selection of Lusaka and Justification
The study will be conducted in Lusaka Province, the capital and most populous province of Zambia (population approximately 3.7 million as of 2022 Census projections). Lusaka was selected for the following reasons:
- Epidemiological burden: Lusaka has the highest urban concentration of overweight and obesity in Zambia. Data from the 2024 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey (ZDHS 2024) indicate that among urban women aged 20–49, the combined prevalence of overweight and obesity substantially exceeds rural equivalents (urban approximately 35–40%; rural approximately 15%). Community-based surveys in Lusaka have previously recorded an overall obesity prevalence of 14.2% (5.1% in men, 18.6% in women), with overweight rates adding a further 20–25% of the population (Rudatsikira et al., 2012). Among women aged 20–29 specifically, the ZDHS 2024 shows that overweight/obesity prevalence is rising compared with the 2013–14 survey, signalling an accelerating transition in young adults.
- Double burden context: Zambia faces a nutritional double burden, with undernutrition persisting alongside rising rates of overweight and obesity, particularly in urban settings. Lusaka is the epicentre of this transition and therefore offers high scientific and policy relevance (Global Nutrition Report, 2024). National data indicate that 14.7% of adult women and 4.4% of adult men are living with obesity nationally, with urban prevalence markedly higher.
- Infrastructure and feasibility: Lusaka has an established network of urban health centres, Community Health Assistants (CHAs, who are formally trained and government-registered), and NGO health platforms that can support CHW training and programme delivery. The city hosts the University of Zambia School of Public Health and the Zambia National Public Health Institute (ZNPHI), providing academic and logistical infrastructure for the trial.
- Research environment: Lusaka has hosted previous community-based NCD intervention research, providing institutional familiarity with research ethics procedures at the University of Zambia Biomedical Research Ethics Committee (UNZABREC) and the ZNPHI research governance pathway.
Population Demographics and Number of Communities
Lusaka Province is predominantly urban (approximately 80% urban residence), with a high proportion of young adults: the 15–34 age group constitutes over 40% of the provincial population (Zambia Statistics Agency, 2022). The province is linguistically diverse, with Nyanja and English as the primary languages of urban communication. Socioeconomic heterogeneity is marked, ranging from high-income formal residential areas to densely populated low-income compounds (e.g., Mtendere, Kanyama, Chaisa).
Approximately 24–30 geographically defined community clusters are planned across the two arms (12–15 per arm). Each cluster will be a defined neighbourhood or ward unit with an estimated catchment of 500–1,000 young adults aged 18–29 years, from which a target sample of 35–50 eligible participants per cluster will be recruited. The final number of clusters will be confirmed following a pre-trial community mapping exercise and feasibility assessment.
Target Population and Inclusion Criteria
Clarification of Study Aim and BMI Eligibility
This study is designed as a combined prevention and early intervention trial addressing both primary prevention (preventing normal-weight individuals from transitioning to overweight) and secondary prevention (halting or reversing the progression from overweight to obesity). This dual framing directly resolves the apparent inconsistency in the previous protocol between the stated target population (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m²) and the inclusion criterion (BMI ≥ 18.5 kg/m²).
The rationale for including normal-weight individuals (BMI 18.5–24.9 kg/m²) is threefold: (a) the intervention is community-delivered and therefore operates at population level across a defined geographic cluster, making selective screening by BMI category logistically impractical; (b) young adulthood (18–29 years) is a period of rapid weight gain, and intervening before BMI trajectories become established offers the greatest long-term prevention benefit (Wong et al., 2020); and (c) a population-level community approach to NCD prevention is consistent with WHO guidance recommending that upstream interventions target whole communities rather than individuals already meeting clinical thresholds (WHO, 2000). The study is therefore best characterised as a combined primary and secondary prevention trial.
Justification for the 18–29 Year Age Group
The 18–29 year age group was selected for three reasons:
- High-risk transition period: Cross-sectional and longitudinal data consistently show that mean BMI increases most steeply between ages 18 and 35, driven by changes in diet, physical activity, occupational patterns, and social environment during the transition from adolescence to adulthood (NICE, 2024; WHO, 2000).
- Underserved group: Existing weight management services in Zambia and most low- and middle-income countries are primarily oriented towards middle-aged and older adults with established cardiometabolic disease. Young adults are rarely targeted by dedicated obesity prevention programming, representing a gap in public health provision.
- Life-course leverage: BMI established by age 25–30 is a strong predictor of cardiometabolic disease risk, premature mortality, and quality of life across the life course (Wong et al., 2020). Intervening before these trajectories consolidate offers maximum long-term population health benefit.
Inclusion Criteria
- Age 18–29 years (inclusive) at enrolment.
- BMI ≥ 18.5 kg/m² at baseline screening (individuals with BMI < 18.5 kg/m² will be excluded as the intervention is not appropriate for underweight individuals).
- Residing in, or regularly present in (defined as ≥ 4 days per week), a selected cluster community for at least 6 months prior to enrolment.
- Able to provide written informed consent in English or Nyanja.
- Willing to participate for the full 12-month study duration.
Exclusion Criteria
- Currently pregnant or breastfeeding at baseline. (See management note below for pregnancies occurring during follow-up.)
- Diagnosed severe eating disorder (anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa, or binge eating disorder) currently under active treatment.
- Medical condition that precludes participation in moderate physical activity without direct medical supervision (e.g., uncontrolled cardiac disease, severe respiratory disease, or musculoskeletal condition assessed by a clinician as precluding exercise).
- BMI < 18.5 kg/m² (underweight) at baseline screening.
- Currently enrolled in a separate structured weight management programme or clinical trial.
- Planning to relocate outside the study area within 12 months.
- Any condition that, in the opinion of the principal investigator, would compromise participant safety or data integrity.
Management of Pregnancy During Follow-Up
Participants who become pregnant during the 12-month follow-up period will not be withdrawn from the study. Management will proceed as follows: (a) dietary and physical activity coaching will be adapted to pregnancy-safe guidelines by a qualified dietitian or midwife; (b) anthropometric measurements will continue to be collected but pregnancy-period measurements will be flagged in the dataset; (c) flagged measurements will be excluded from the primary per-protocol analysis but retained in the ITT analysis with last-observation-carried-forward imputation; (d) a pre-specified sensitivity analysis will be conducted excluding all participants who became pregnant. This approach ensures participant safety, maintains retention, and allows transparent reporting of any differential pregnancy rates between arms.
Sample Size Calculation
Primary Endpoint and Effect Size
The primary endpoint is change in BMI (kg/m²) from baseline to 12 months. Based on evidence from community-based obesity prevention trials in young adults and comparable sub-Saharan African settings, a minimum clinically important difference of 0.5 kg/m² is considered meaningful (WHO, 2000), with an assumed standard deviation of 2.5 kg/m² for BMI change.
Calculation Parameters
- Effect size: 0.5 kg/m² difference in mean BMI change between arms (SD = 2.5 kg/m²).
- Power: 80%.
- Two-sided significance level: α = 0.05.
- Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC): 0.02 (based on published values from community-based obesity and lifestyle intervention trials; Gray et al., 2016; Donner & Klar, 2000). A sensitivity calculation using ICC = 0.05 will also be presented to examine the effect of a higher ICC on required sample size.
- Average cluster size (m): 40 participants per cluster (based on community mapping estimates).
- Design effect (DEFF): DEFF = 1 + (m - 1) × ICC = 1 + (39 × 0.02) = 1.78.
- Individual-level sample size (ignoring clustering): n = 2 × [(z_α/2 + z_β)² × σ² / δ²] = 2 × [(1.96 + 0.842)² × 6.25 / 0.25] ≈ 394 participants total (197 per arm).
- Cluster-adjusted sample size: 394 × 1.78 ≈ 701 participants.
- Attrition adjustment: Assuming 20% dropout over 12 months: 701 / 0.80 ≈ 877 participants.
- Number of clusters required: 877 / 40 ≈ 22 clusters (11 per arm). To provide an additional power margin and account for possible cluster dropout, 24–30 clusters (12–15 per arm) are planned.
Final Planned Sample
Target enrolment: 960–1,200 participants across 24–30 clusters (minimum 800 for 80% power; 1,200 provides a buffer against higher-than-anticipated attrition or ICC). Final parameters will be confirmed using simulation methods in R (package clusterPower) or Stata (xtmixed-based simulation) prior to trial registration. All parameters will be pre-specified in the trial registration record and final protocol.
Intervention Components
The multi-component intervention follows a Social-Ecological Model framework (Stokols, 1996), targeting determinants of obesity at individual, interpersonal, organisational, and community levels. The intervention is described in accordance with the Template for Intervention Description and Replication (TIDieR) checklist (Hoffmann et al., 2014).
TIDieR Item 1: Brief Name
Community-Based Multi-Component Obesity Prevention Intervention (CMOPI-ZM).
TIDieR Item 2: Why - Theoretical Rationale
The intervention is grounded in Social Cognitive Theory (Bandura, 1986) and the Behaviour Change Wheel (Michie et al., 2011), targeting the mechanisms of self-efficacy, outcome expectancies, social reinforcement, and environmental opportunity. Obesity in young adults in urban Lusaka is driven by a combination of individual behaviour, social norms, and obesogenic environmental features (easy availability of ultra-processed foods; limited safe spaces for physical activity). The multi-level approach addresses all three domains simultaneously.
TIDieR Item 3: Materials
- Printed and illustrated dietary guidance materials available in English and Nyanja.
- A mobile health (mHealth) application to support self-monitoring of diet, physical activity, and goal progress. This application does not currently exist and will be developed prior to the trial as a purpose-built tool using open-source frameworks (e.g., React Native). A 3-month pilot feasibility phase will test usability and acceptability before full trial launch. The app will be Android-compatible and will include an offline-capable version for low-connectivity settings. A paper-based equivalent (goal-tracking diary) will be provided to participants without smartphone access.
- Group session facilitator manuals and fidelity checklists.
- Community environment audit tools and poster materials for community-level campaigns.
TIDieR Item 4: Procedures - Individual Level
- Content: Personalised dietary coaching (portion control, reducing ultra-processed food consumption, increasing fruit and vegetable intake); physical activity goal-setting; self-monitoring of diet and activity via mobile app or paper diary; motivational interviewing techniques.
- Frequency and duration: 12 individual coaching contacts over 12 months (monthly), each lasting approximately 30 minutes.
- Mode of delivery: In-person at community meeting points or health posts, supplemented by SMS reminders and in-app notifications.
TIDieR Item 5: Procedures - Interpersonal Level
- Content: Monthly peer support group sessions (groups of 8–12 participants), including cooking demonstrations, group physical activity sessions (e.g., walking groups, group aerobics), and peer-led discussions on behaviour change and social norms.
- Frequency and duration: Monthly sessions of 60–90 minutes over 12 months (12 sessions total); supplementary informal peer contact facilitated through a closed community messaging group.
- Mode of delivery: In-person at community venues (churches, community halls, open spaces); facilitated by trained peer educators drawn from within the community.
TIDieR Item 6: Procedures - Organisational and Environmental Level
- Content: Partnerships with local food markets to improve healthy food access (subsidised fruit and vegetable stalls or point-of-choice labelling); partnerships with local gyms, recreational facilities, and employers/schools to provide low-cost or free access to physical activity spaces; community environment audits to identify and advocate for improvements (e.g., safe walking routes).
- Frequency and duration: Environmental partnerships established at trial start and maintained throughout 12 months; formal review of environmental changes at 6 and 12 months.
- Mode of delivery: Multi-sector coordination meetings with community leaders, market operators, and workplace/campus managers; written memoranda of understanding where applicable.
TIDieR Item 7: Procedures - Community Level
- Content: Mass media campaigns (community radio, posters, social media); monthly community health events with free anthropometric screening and nutrition education; policy advocacy through community coalitions targeting local government food and environment policies.
- Frequency and duration: Monthly community health events; radio campaign aired weekly for the first 6 months and fortnightly thereafter; policy advocacy activities ongoing throughout the trial.
- Mode of delivery: Community radio broadcasts, printed and digital posters, and community coalition meetings led by CHWs and community leaders.
TIDieR Items 8 and 9: Who Provides - Training of Community Health Workers and Peer Educators
Trained Community Health Assistants (CHAs, formally trained and government-registered in Zambia) will lead individual coaching and community-level activities. Peer educators (lay community members) will facilitate group sessions and peer support activities. All CHWs and peer educators will complete a standardised 5-day pre-trial training programme covering:
- Behaviour change communication techniques, including motivational interviewing.
- Nutrition education and dietary coaching.
- Physical activity promotion and group facilitation.
- Use of the mobile application and paper-based self-monitoring tools.
- Adverse event recognition and participant referral procedures.
- Ethical principles, including confidentiality and non-stigmatising communication about weight.
Competency will be assessed by structured role-play assessment before deployment. A 1-day refresher training will be provided at month 6. CHW performance will be monitored monthly through supervision visits by a trial coordinator.
TIDieR Items 10–12: Fidelity, Tailoring, and Modifications
Intervention fidelity will be monitored through: (a) session attendance logs; (b) session delivery checklists completed by CHWs after each contact; (c) bi-monthly supervision visits with direct observation of a randomly selected 10% of sessions; (d) mobile app usage logs (frequency of logins and goal entries). Minor adaptations to content may be made for individual health profiles (e.g., co-existing hypertension) but the core four-level component structure will remain consistent across all clusters. All protocol deviations will be documented and reported.
Comparator (Control Arm)
Control clusters will receive usual care: a single provision of standard public health information leaflets on healthy eating and physical activity (equivalent to materials currently available at Zambia Ministry of Health community health posts), with no structured multi-component support. No active coaching, peer support groups, environmental modifications, or application access will be provided. The information will be delivered by a CHW in a single session of approximately 15 minutes at enrolment, with no follow-up contacts.
Minimising Contamination Between Arms
The risk of contamination between intervention and control communities is directly addressed through geographic cluster randomisation. Additional measures include:
- Communities will be selected to be spatially separated by a minimum inter-cluster buffer distance of 2 kilometres (confirmed during pre-trial community mapping).
- Clusters will be selected to minimise shared social or commercial spaces (e.g., the same market or workplace should not span both an intervention and a control cluster).
- Participants will be advised at enrolment not to share intervention materials with individuals outside their cluster; this will be reinforced at each contact.
- Contamination will be monitored through a process evaluation survey at 6 and 12 months asking control arm participants whether they received or sought out additional dietary or physical activity support beyond usual health services.
- A pre-specified sensitivity analysis excluding any clusters identified as contaminated will be conducted and reported alongside the primary analysis.
Outcomes
Primary Outcome
Change in BMI (kg/m²) from baseline to 12 months. BMI is selected as the single primary outcome because it is a continuous, internationally standardised measure of adiposity with established clinical cut-points, it is sensitive to change over a 12-month period, and it directly underpins the sample size calculation. Waist circumference is classified as a secondary outcome rather than co-primary, given the practical advantage of a single pre-specified primary endpoint for trial registration and regulatory clarity.
Justification for selecting BMI as the primary outcome: Although waist circumference may be a more sensitive marker of cardiometabolic risk at a given BMI (particularly in African populations where adiposity distribution differs from European reference populations), BMI was selected as the primary endpoint because: (a) it is the most widely used endpoint in comparable multi-component obesity prevention trials, facilitating future meta-analytic comparison; (b) standardised BMI measurement has lower inter-observer variability than waist circumference in field settings; and (c) it directly links to the study's prevention framing through established BMI classification thresholds (WHO, 2000).
Secondary Outcomes
- Waist circumference (cm): Measured at the midpoint between the lower costal margin and iliac crest using a non-elastic tape measure, participant standing in light clothing (WHO protocol).
- Physical activity level: IPAQ short form (7-day self-report recall), validated and widely used in sub-Saharan Africa. Accelerometry (wrist-worn device) will be used in a 20% subsample for objective validation.
- Dietary intake: Interviewer-administered 24-hour dietary recall (multiple-pass method) at each time point, analysed using the Zambia-specific food composition database or FAO/INFOODS. A validated food frequency questionnaire (FFQ adapted for Zambian dietary patterns) will supplement this at 12 months.
- Behavioural mediators: Self-efficacy assessed using the General Self-Efficacy Scale (GSE-10; Schwarzer & Jerusalem, 1995); social norm perceptions assessed by a 5-item adapted scale.
- Health-related quality of life: Short Form-12 (SF-12; Ware et al., 1996), validated for use in sub-Saharan African contexts, administered at baseline and 12 months.
- Mental health: Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) for depression screening and the Generalised Anxiety Disorder 7-item scale (GAD-7) for anxiety, both of which have demonstrated validity in Zambian and broader African populations. Administered at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months.
- Cardiometabolic markers: Fasting venous blood sample for HbA1c (%), fasting plasma glucose (mmol/L), total cholesterol (mmol/L), LDL-cholesterol (mmol/L), HDL-cholesterol (mmol/L), and triglycerides (mmol/L). Collected at baseline and 12 months only.
- Incidence of obesity: New-onset BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² among participants with baseline BMI < 30 kg/m².
Process Measures
- Reach: Proportion of eligible community members enrolled.
- Dose delivered: Number and proportion of planned sessions completed per participant.
- Acceptability: Post-intervention satisfaction survey (5-point Likert scale).
- App engagement: Frequency of logins and goal entries per participant per month.
Data Collection
Timeline and Sources
Data will be collected at three time points: baseline (T0), 6 months (T1), and 12 months (T2). Biochemical measures will be collected at T0 and T2 only to minimise participant burden.
- Anthropometric: Height (calibrated stadiometer, Seca 213), weight (calibrated digital floor scale, Seca 876), and waist circumference (non-elastic tape measure). All measurements conducted in duplicate; the mean of two readings is used; a third measurement is taken if duplicates differ by more than 0.5 kg (weight) or 1 cm (waist circumference).
- Biochemical: Fasting venous blood drawn by a trained phlebotomist. Samples processed within 2 hours at a certified laboratory (ZNPHI or University Teaching Hospital laboratory, Lusaka).
- Questionnaire data: Administered by trained research assistants using electronic data capture (Open Data Kit, ODK) on tablet devices. Paper backup available in case of device failure.
- App usage data: Automatically logged server-side with daily extraction to the study database.
Assessor Training and Standardisation
All research assistants conducting outcome assessments will attend a 2-day standardisation training prior to data collection, covering: (a) anthropometric measurement protocols following WHO methods, including duplicate measurement procedures and equipment calibration checks; (b) phlebotomy and sample handling procedures; (c) questionnaire administration using scripted procedures to minimise interviewer bias; (d) data entry using ODK including use of built-in validation rules. Intra-observer and inter-observer technical error of measurement (TEM) will be calculated during training; assessors with TEM exceeding the acceptable threshold will receive additional training before being authorised to collect data. Equipment calibration will be checked at the start and end of each data collection day.
Blinding of Assessors
As described under Study Design, outcome assessors will remain blinded to cluster allocation at baseline, 6-month, and 12-month follow-up visits. Assessors will not be involved in intervention delivery and will be deployed to assigned clusters only. If an assessor inadvertently learns the assignment of a cluster, this will be documented as a protocol deviation and a different assessor will be deployed for subsequent visits to that cluster where feasible.
Data Management, Storage, and Quality Assurance
Electronic data will be managed using REDCap (Research Electronic Data Capture) hosted on a secure server at the University of Zambia or a Zambian data protection-compliant cloud server. Access will be restricted to named trial team members by role-based permissions. All data will be encrypted in transit and at rest. Paper records (where used) will be stored in locked cabinets at the trial coordinating centre. Data quality checks built into ODK (skip logic, range checks, mandatory fields) will flag potential errors at the point of entry. A dedicated data manager will perform weekly data quality audits including checks for duplicate entries, out-of-range values, and missing data patterns. An anonymised dataset will be used for all analyses; participant identifiers will be held separately by the trial manager.
Data Analysis
Primary Statistical Model
The primary analysis will use a linear mixed-effects regression model (LMER) implemented in R (lme4 package) or Stata (mixed command). The model specification is:
BMI_change_ij = β0 + β1(Treatment_j) + β2(Baseline_BMI_ij) + β3(Age_ij) + β4(Sex_ij) + β5(SES_ij) + u_j + ε_ij
Where i indexes individuals and j indexes clusters; u_j is the cluster-level random intercept capturing within-cluster correlation; ε_ij is the individual-level residual. The coefficient β1 represents the estimated treatment effect - the mean difference in BMI change between intervention and control arms - adjusted for the pre-specified covariates. A random slope for time will be added if model fit statistics (AIC/BIC) support this.
Intention-to-Treat Analysis
The primary analysis will follow ITT principles: all participants enrolled and randomised (at the cluster level) will be included regardless of adherence to the intervention or completeness of follow-up data. A per-protocol sensitivity analysis will be conducted restricting to participants who attended at least 75% of scheduled intervention contacts.
Incorporating Clustering and Repeated Measures
The mixed-effects model accounts for within-cluster correlation through the random cluster intercept. Repeated measures at 6 and 12 months will be incorporated using a longitudinal extension of the LMER model, with time as a fixed effect and a random intercept-and-slope structure at the participant level nested within clusters. Generalised Estimating Equations (GEE) with an exchangeable correlation structure will be used as a sensitivity analysis to verify robustness of the primary result.
Adjustment Variables
The following variables will be included as fixed covariates in the primary model, selected a priori based on known determinants of BMI change and potential confounders: age (continuous), sex (binary), baseline BMI (continuous), and socioeconomic status (standardised household asset index score derived from the baseline questionnaire, consistent with the Zambia DHS wealth quintile approach).
Handling of Missing Data
Missing data will be investigated for patterns (missing completely at random [MCAR], missing at random [MAR], or missing not at random [MNAR]) using Little's MCAR test and visual inspection of missingness patterns. The primary analysis will use multiple imputation by chained equations (MICE) assuming MAR, with 50 imputed datasets pooled using Rubin's rules. Imputation models will include all analysis variables plus auxiliary variables predictive of missingness (e.g., attendance records, baseline health status). Complete-case analysis will be presented as a sensitivity analysis. Where MNAR is suspected (e.g., differential dropout related to BMI trajectory), a further sensitivity analysis using pattern-mixture models will be conducted.
Subgroup Analyses
Pre-specified exploratory subgroup analyses will examine treatment effect modification by: (a) sex (male vs. female); (b) baseline BMI category (normal weight 18.5–24.9 vs. overweight 25.0–29.9 vs. obese ≥ 30 kg/m²); and (c) socioeconomic status (lower two quintiles vs. upper three quintiles). These analyses are explicitly exploratory, hypothesis-generating, and not independently powered. Effect estimates will be presented with confidence intervals and interaction p-values and interpreted descriptively. A Bonferroni correction will be applied across the three pre-specified subgroup interactions to reduce the risk of false positives.
Secondary Outcome Analyses
Binary outcomes (incidence of obesity) will be analysed using log-binomial regression with cluster-robust standard errors to estimate risk ratios. Count or ordinal behavioural outcomes will use generalised linear mixed models (GLMM) with appropriate link functions. Process measures will be reported descriptively. Statistical significance will be set at p < 0.05 (two-tailed) for all primary analyses; secondary and subgroup analyses will be interpreted in the context of both effect size and clinical meaning. All analyses will be conducted in R (version ≥ 4.4) or Stata (version ≥ 18). The statistical analysis plan (SAP) will be finalised, registered, and locked prior to unblinding of outcome data.
Adverse Events and Safety Monitoring
Definitions
- Adverse Event (AE): Any untoward medical occurrence in a participant during the study period, regardless of causal relationship to the intervention. Examples include exercise-related musculoskeletal injuries, psychological distress, hypoglycaemic episodes, or cardiovascular events.
- Serious Adverse Event (SAE): An AE that results in death, is life-threatening, requires hospitalisation or prolongation of existing hospitalisation, results in persistent or significant disability, or is deemed medically significant by the principal investigator. Examples include acute myocardial infarction, severe exercise-induced injury requiring hospital admission, or a severe depressive episode requiring psychiatric care.
- Adverse Event Related to Intervention: An AE judged by the principal investigator as possibly, probably, or definitely related to study participation or the intervention activities.
Reporting Procedures
All AEs will be recorded by CHWs or research assistants on a standardised AE reporting form at each participant contact and whenever a participant presents with a concern. SAEs must be reported to the principal investigator within 24 hours of the trial team becoming aware of the event. SAEs will subsequently be reported to UNZABREC and ZNPHI within 7 calendar days (or 15 days for non-fatal, non-life-threatening events) in accordance with Zambian research ethics regulations. A serious unexpected suspected adverse reaction (SUSAR) will be reported to all relevant regulatory authorities within 7 days.
Monitoring of Specific Risk Areas
- Exercise-related injuries: All participants will be screened at baseline for conditions that could increase exercise injury risk using the Physical Activity Readiness Questionnaire (PAR-Q). Physical activity goals will be set at low-to-moderate intensity (e.g., 150 minutes per week of brisk walking, in line with WHO guidelines), escalating only where clinically safe to do so. CHWs will be trained to identify musculoskeletal injury symptoms and refer participants to the nearest health facility promptly.
- Psychological distress: Mental health screening will be conducted at baseline and 12 months using the PHQ-9 and GAD-7. Participants who screen positive for moderate-to-severe depression (PHQ-9 ≥ 10) or moderate-to-severe anxiety (GAD-7 ≥ 10) at any time point will be referred to a mental health nurse or counsellor via the health facility referral pathway. A list of local mental health resources (community counsellors, ZNPHI mental health helpline) will be provided to all participants at enrolment.
- Weight-related distress and disordered eating: All CHWs will be trained in non-stigmatising, weight-inclusive communication. Participants showing signs of disordered eating cognition (identified through regular monitoring during coaching sessions) will be referred to a dietitian. Any new diagnosis of an eating disorder during the study will be treated as an SAE.
Data Safety and Monitoring Committee
An independent Data Safety and Monitoring Committee (DSMC) will be established, comprising: (a) an independent biostatistician; (b) a clinician with expertise in NCD prevention; and (c) a community representative or lay member. The DSMC will review unblinded accumulating outcome and safety data at 6 months (after approximately 50% of primary outcome data have been collected) and will report to the trial steering committee. The trial will be stopped early for harm if there is evidence that the intervention arm is associated with a significantly higher rate of SAEs than the control arm (p < 0.01, two-sided, unadjusted), or if an imbalance in severe adverse events raises unacceptable safety concerns. The DSMC charter will be finalised and agreed prior to trial commencement.
Ethical Considerations
Ethical Approval
Ethical approval will be sought from the University of Zambia Biomedical Research Ethics Committee (UNZABREC) prior to any recruitment or data collection. In accordance with the Zambia National Health Research Act and ZNPHI research governance procedures, the protocol will also be registered with the National Health Research Authority. The trial will be registered prospectively on the Pan African Clinical Trials Registry (PACTR) or ClinicalTrials.gov, and the registration number will be cited in all publications and communications.
Informed Consent
Written informed consent will be obtained from all participants prior to enrolment. Consent forms will be available in English and Nyanja and will be reviewed using a "teach-back" method to verify comprehension. Consent will cover the study purpose and procedures, the voluntary nature of participation, the right to withdraw at any time without penalty or effect on access to health services, data confidentiality arrangements, and contact information for the principal investigator and UNZABREC. Where potential participants have low literacy, the consent process will be conducted verbally in the presence of a literate witness, with a thumbprint signature.
Community Engagement and Cultural Sensitivity
Community entry will be preceded by engagement with community leaders (Neighbourhood Health Committees, local councillors, and chiefs where applicable) to obtain community-level assent before individual participant recruitment begins. Weight-related discussions will use non-stigmatising, culturally appropriate language. Given the documented association between food insecurity and overweight in Zambian urban settings, intervention messaging will be framed around positive health behaviours and wellbeing rather than body weight per se.
Management of Abnormal Screening Findings
Participants identified at baseline screening as having significantly abnormal findings (e.g., fasting glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/L, blood pressure ≥ 160/100 mmHg, or BMI ≥ 40 kg/m² with comorbidities) will be referred promptly to the nearest primary health care facility with a standardised referral letter. These participants will not be excluded from the study unless their condition warrants exclusion on safety grounds. A referral log will be maintained, including documentation of whether the participant subsequently attended the referral facility.
Participant Reimbursement
Participants will receive reimbursement for time and transport costs associated with each study visit (baseline, 6-month, and 12-month assessments). Reimbursement will be set at a level approved by UNZABREC and consistent with Zambian guidelines for research participant reimbursement - sufficient to cover reasonable transport costs without being coercive. No conditional or performance-related payments will be made.
Data Protection and Confidentiality
All data will be treated in strict confidence. Participant data will be pseudonymised using a unique study ID; identifiable information will be held separately by the trial manager and not shared with the analysis team. Data storage and processing will comply with the Zambia Data Protection Act 2021. Data will be retained for a minimum of 10 years after study completion per UNZABREC and institutional requirements, then securely destroyed.
Dissemination Plan
Academic Dissemination
Results will be submitted for publication in peer-reviewed, open-access journals with broad global and sub-Saharan African public health readership (e.g., PLOS Medicine, The Lancet Global Health, BMC Public Health, or Obesity Reviews). Both positive and null results will be submitted in line with the AllTrials commitment to reduce publication bias. Primary results (12-month BMI outcomes), process evaluation findings, and secondary outcome data will each be reported in separate publications. Authorship will follow ICMJE guidelines and will include community representatives and CHW supervisors where their contribution meets authorship criteria.
Findings will be presented at relevant international conferences (e.g., International Congress on Obesity, European Congress on Obesity, Africa Health Conference) and national Zambian research forums (e.g., ZNPHI Annual Research Symposium, Zambia National Health Research Conference).
Policy and Stakeholder Dissemination
Policy briefs summarising key findings and actionable recommendations will be prepared for: (a) the Zambia Ministry of Health Non-Communicable Diseases Unit; (b) the Lusaka Province Health Office; and (c) local government authorities in the study area. Stakeholder dissemination workshops will be held in Lusaka at the close of the trial, bringing together MOH representatives, community leaders, NGO partners, and the trial team to discuss findings, implications, and scale-up considerations. A plain-language stakeholder report will be submitted to the Ministry of Health and made publicly available on the study website within 3 months of trial completion.
Community and Participant Dissemination
Community dissemination events will be held within each participating cluster at the end of the trial to present aggregated findings to community members in accessible formats (oral presentations, visual summaries, community radio broadcasts). Plain-language participant summaries of study findings, available in English and Nyanja, will be distributed to all enrolled participants. These activities fulfil the ethical obligation to return findings to communities that contributed their time and data, and reinforce the study's community partnership model.
Influence on Future Public Health Policy
The trial is designed to generate evidence directly applicable to Zambian and wider sub-Saharan African obesity prevention policy. If the intervention demonstrates effectiveness, findings will be used to: (a) advocate for inclusion of community-based young adult obesity prevention programmes in the Zambia National NCD Policy and Strategic Plan; (b) inform the design of a national scale-up programme with particular attention to integrating delivery within the existing CHW workforce; and (c) contribute to WHO guidance on community-based NCD prevention in low- and middle-income country settings. The trial team will engage proactively with the ZNPHI Health Policy Evidence Unit throughout the trial to facilitate timely translation of findings into policy guidance. A five-year follow-up observational study will be proposed if resources permit, to assess the durability of intervention effects and long-term cost-effectiveness.
Data Sharing
Anonymised individual participant data will be made available to qualified researchers on reasonable request following publication of the primary results, in accordance with UNZABREC data sharing provisions and the Zambia Data Protection Act 2021. A data sharing statement and formal request procedure will be included in all publications.
All sections above incorporate the requested revisions. The downloadable Word document is also available at the link provided in the previous message.