Progression of Myopia
Definition and background
Myopia (short-sightedness) results from complex hereditary and environmental interaction, with strong evidence linking it to long-term intensive near visual activity (reading, computer/screen use). A refractive error greater than -6 dioptres is the common definition of high myopia, in which axial length is usually >26 mm - Kanski's Clinical Ophthalmology, p. 629. Pathological/degenerative myopia is characterised by progressive anteroposterior elongation of the scleral envelope, with secondary changes attributed largely to mechanical stretching of ocular tissues. It affects over 2% of adult Western populations and up to 10% of East Asians, and is a significant cause of legal blindness (mainly via myopic maculopathy) - Kanski's Clinical Ophthalmology, p. 629.
Why progression matters
Progressive axial elongation drives most complications: myopic maculopathy, lattice degeneration, retinal breaks/detachment, and posterior staphyloma. Myopia is also associated with a greater likelihood of glaucoma and of its progression, so monitoring intraocular pressure and optic disc status matters in progressive high myopes - Kanski's Clinical Ophthalmology, p. 386.
Risk factors for progression
- Younger age at onset (earlier onset = more years of progression, generally worse outcome)
- Genetic predisposition/family history
- Environmental factors: intense near work, limited time outdoors
- Under-correction of refractive error (historically thought protective, but evidence now suggests it may actually accelerate progression rather than retard it) - Kanski's Clinical Ophthalmology, p. 4590s (When to prescribe section)
Management to slow progression
- Optical correction - full correction is generally preferred; older children should have correction of even low myopia for clear distance vision. Under-correction and bifocals were once used to try to retard progression, but this approach is under investigation and not well supported - Kanski's Clinical Ophthalmology.
- Low-dose atropine - Atropine 0.01% instilled at bedtime can significantly slow progression of myopia in children. A reasonable approach is to offer this to progressive myopes, though there is no universal consensus on concentration or duration - Kanski's Clinical Ophthalmology, p. 629-630. Goodman & Gilman's notes doses from 0.01% to 0.5% can slow and even partially reverse progression, though the exact mechanism remains unclear - Goodman & Gilman's Pharmacological Basis of Therapeutics.
- Orthokeratology (overnight corneal reshaping contact lenses) - shown in meta-analyses to reduce axial elongation and myopia progression in children.
- Specially designed spectacle lenses and soft contact lenses (peripheral defocus-modifying designs) - reduce progression compared to standard single-vision correction.
- Behavioural/lifestyle measures - increased outdoor time and reduced continuous near work are recommended as adjuncts, with reasonable evidence for outdoor time reducing myopia onset/progression risk.
Current evidence hierarchy (per recent systematic reviews)
A living Cochrane network meta-analysis (Lawrenson et al., 2025, PMID 39945354) and a 2025 Acta Ophthalmologica network meta-analysis (PMID 40219611) both confirm that atropine (higher concentrations more effective but with more side effects like photophobia and accommodation loss), orthokeratology, and specialty soft/spectacle lenses are the most effective current interventions, generally outperforming outdoor time and behavioral interventions alone. A 2023 meta-analysis on orthokeratology (PMID 37284749) supports its efficacy in reducing axial length growth specifically.
Bottom line: Myopia progression is driven by genetics plus near-work/environmental exposure, manifesting as axial elongation with risk of sight-threatening complications in high myopes. The most evidence-backed strategies to slow progression in children are low-concentration atropine, orthokeratology, and specialty myopia-control spectacle/contact lens designs, alongside encouraging outdoor time and avoiding under-correction.