This cannot be diagnosed reliably from a photograph alone. Important alternatives include bacterial ecthyma, sporotrichosis, atypical mycobacterial infection, insect-bite reactions, and other chronic ulcerating skin conditions.
A dermatologist, infectious-disease, or tropical-medicine clinician should examine it soon. Confirmation usually requires a sample from the active raised edge of a lesion for
skin smear/microscopy, PCR, culture, or biopsy. The
WHO clinical factsheet notes that cutaneous leishmaniasis can begin as a papule and progress to an indolent ulcerated nodule or plaque, but requires parasitological confirmation.
Seek urgent care today if there is fever, rapidly spreading redness, severe pain, increasing swelling, pus, red streaking, or diabetes/immunosuppression. Avoid picking lesions or self-treating with steroid creams until assessed.